Match 39 - Torquay (a)

Two-nil is a horrible score line in football in that the next goal usually gives the scorer's the impetus, and this was certainly true of Torquay who despite being second best for the vast majority of this game somehow managed to salvage a draw.


You could argue it was more a case of Notts prising a draw from the jaws of victory with old habits setting in, sitting deep and inviting pressure, not to mention an ongoing inability to see games out and defend set pieces.

Match stats below and not much to separate the teams.



Progress updated. Down to 9th place on goals scored. Exponential trend line suggesting a 6th place finish as it stands.

Results tracker updated now with a line that provides another visualisation for progress throughout the season based on 'win' = 2, 'draw' = 1 and 'loss' = -1.


Could do with a few more green sections in the coming games.

Points needed now with adjusted targets to represent predicted points totals for the current season. Clinging on to a play off spot based on PPG. You can filter the chart by clicking on the legends at the top.

League segment chart updated. Grey bar shows total points available for that segment. Green bar shows total points gained and yellow bar the PPG for that segment.


First point for this 6 game segment and even if we win the next two games it will represent the worst segment for the season so far.

Points by time segment. How many points would have been accumulated if games had finished at 15, 30, 45, 60, 75 and 90 minutes.


Onto player stats now and remember you can use the search function to see individual players or click on a column heading to sort highest to lowest etc.


Minutes played updated: Luke Steele becomes the 32nd player utilised by Notts this season.

Goal contribution table updated. Again, you can find this on the website and sort columns etc.


Goal participation by minute detailing player goal contribution efficiency.

Goals scatter chart updated.

Goals by time segment updated.


Ian Burchnall's record updated with 8 games managed.


Looking at the xG data for the Torquay game would suggest Notts had the better of it for a large part of the game and really should have won it.

xG key match stats and Notts xPTS at 1.86 converts to an expected win % of 52.33%.

Finally player xG below and Kyle Wootton's saved header was actually Notts' biggest chance of the match.


Preview | Eastleigh (a) | Vanarama National League | 19:45

Tuesday 27th April 2021 | Silverlake Stadium


Another long trip south again for Notts as they travel to a relatively in form Eastleigh in search of three much needed points.


Eastleigh hold the bragging rights having come out on top in the reverse fixture at Meadow Lane just 10 days ago.


Recent form radar and it's quite an even outlook but Eastleigh have fared better on recent form.

Goals for/against by time segment for Eastleigh.

Lead status comparison and not much between the two clubs.


Very little between the two teams at the bookies with the odds very even.


You are currently looking at 17/10 for an Eastleigh win and 8/5 on a Notts win.


A draw is coming in at just over 2/1.


Based on these odds Notts have a 38% chance of winning and Eastleigh a 37% chance of winning.


Eastleigh will be full of confidence after following up the win at Meadow Lane with an impressive win over Sutton Utd on Saturday with a very well worked goal.


It will be interesting to see if Ian Burchnall sticks with what currently appears to be his favoured 3-5-2 formation, but he might be forced into a change if Alex Lacey is unable to start after coming off at half time in the Torquay game. Likewise Griffiths could come in for O'Brien who appeared to be struggling with a knock.


It begs the question where do the likes of Boldewijn, Sam and Rodrigues fit into this system and how much of a part will we see them play in the remaining games?


Whoever plays, Notts desperately need to get 3 points on the board which will set them up nicely for the trip up north to a struggling Altrincham on Saturday.


COYP!

Richard

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