Preview - Aldershot Town (h)



The Shots took the honours and the 3 points with a 2-1 win at the EBB Stadium back in November.


Aldershot currently occupy 17th place in the National League on 46 points, 5 points clear of the relegation zone. Danny Searle's team will be looking to ensure their safety as early as possible having been saved from relegation last season thanks to the administrative demotion of Gateshead to the National League North following the League's AGM in June 2019.


The Shots have managed to take a few notable scalps at home this season including wins over Notts, Dover, Stockport and more recently in-form Boreham Wood. Away from home has been a bit of a mixed bag winning their last away fixture 2-1 at struggling Maidenhead and their previous away win being at Wrexham early in the New Year.


Shots last six league games: P6 | W2 | D2 | L2 | GF 6 | GA 7 | GD -1 | Pts 8.

Shots last six away games: P6 | W2 | D1 | L3 | GF 4 | GA 7 | GD -3 | Pts 7.


This equates to a PPG average for the last 6 league games of 1.33, a goals scored per game average of 1.0 and a goals conceded average of 1.17.


Last 6 away for the Shots deliver slightly lower stats with a PPG of 1.17, goals scored per game 0.67 and goals conceded 1.17.


By comparison Notts remain 6th in the league on 57 points, 2 points clear of Solihull in 7th and just 3 points behind Yeovil in 3rd place.


The two wins on the road at Fylde and Barrow have seen Notts climb back up the last 6 form table to 7th place and find themselves 8th in the last 6 home games and haven't lost at home in the league since the 3-0 defeat to Barrow, ironically the week before the defeat at Aldershot.


Notts have a last six league record of P6 | W3 | D1 | L2 | GF 8 | GA 6 | GD +2 | Pts 10.

Notts last 6 home league games P6 | W3 | D3 | L0 | GF 10 | GA 3 | GD +7 | Pts 12.


This equates to a PPG average for the last 6 league games of 1.67, a goals per game average of 1.33 and a goals conceded average of 1.0.


Last 6 home league games for Notts sees a PPG of 2.0, goals per game of 1.67 and goals conceded of just 0.50.


Notts currently have the joint best defence in the league having leaked just 37 goals along with Solihull.


The following chart plots how the two teams compare for league position, form, attack and defence.


How the two teams compare for the season so far (National League):

On current form and with home advantage Notts should be firm favourites and should be very much up to the task with Neal Ardley now able to rotate his squad due to the return of players from injury.


Notts have still conceded most goals in the first 15 minutes of a game and 57% of goals scored by Notts have been in the second half which appears to be a growing pattern and suggest squad depth and substitutions are starting to make a difference.


Aldershot look vulnerable in the last 15 minutes of a game.


Goals scored and conceded per 15 min segment for both Notts and Aldershot. Segments 31-45 mins and 76-90 mins include goals scored in added/injury time.


Notts have faced Aldershot/Aldershot Town 45 times in all competitions. The last time Aldershot managed a win at Notts was back in August 1968. The last encounter at Meadow Lane resulted in a 0-0 draw in November 2009, the 'Munto' season.


The biggest margin Notts have ever beaten Aldershot by is 3 goals with 4-1 victories in 1989 and 1983. Likewise Aldershot's biggest victory over Notts was 4-1 in 1967. Notts have managed to put 5 goals past the Shots just once in a 5-3 win in 1964 and this remains the game with the highest number of goals scored in a game between the two clubs.


A win for Notts will see a climb up to 3rd in the table on goal difference over Yeovil with another home game to follow against Eastleigh on Saturday and a chance to further cement a top 3 place.


A win for Aldershot will mean another step towards league safety and a chance to move up to 15th in the league.


South African Ethan Chislett is the Shots one to watch. The 20 year old utility midfielder is currently the clubs leading scorer with 9 league goals to his name for the season so far having joined the club in June 2019 from the Met Police and was a member of the Shots youth set up until 2015 before joining the force.


As expected the bookies have Notts clear favourites with 5/6 currently looking like the best you will get on a Notts win. Aldershot are currently around 7/2 for the away win and the draw circa 11/4 (oddschecker.com).


Note:

Betting odds are only used as another means to assess current form and sporting industry expectations of possible result. Notts County Stats do not endorse any form of gambling or betting industry associated businesses.

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