Preview - Barrow (a)



The Bluebirds came out convincing 3-0 winners in the first meeting earlier this season at Meadow Lane in a game that saw them stack up 15 attempts on goal compared to 7 attempts by the Magpies.


Barrow continue to top the National League with 70 pts from 36 games and lead the scoring charts with 68 goals, averaging just under 1.9 goals per game.


Regardless of dominating the league for much of the season their form in the last 6 games has stuttered a little away from home and they are currently 5th in the last 6 form table. However, home form continues to be the best in the league.


Barrow last six league games: P6 | W3 | D2 | L1 | GF 8 | GA 6 | GD +2 | Pts 11.

Barrow last six home games: P6 | W5 | D1 | L0 | GF 15 | GA 3 | GD +12 | Pts 16.


This equates to a PPG average for the last 6 league games of 1.83, a goals scored per game average of 1.33 and a goals conceded average of 1.0.


However at home Barrow have averaged 2.66 PPG, 2.5 goals per game and conceded just 0.5 goals per game in their last 6 games at Holker Street.


By comparison Notts are currently 6th in the league on 54 points courtesy of a better GD over Solihull, Hartlepool and Stockport but also have games in hand.


Notts have dropped to 13th in the last 6 form table but are 4th for the last 6 league games on the road.


Notts have a last six league record of P6 | W2 | D2 | L2 | GF 6 | GA 6 | GD 0 | Pts 8.


This equates to a PPG average for the last 6 league games of 1.33, a goals per game average of 1.0 and a goals conceded average of 1.0.


Notts currently have the joint best defence in the league having leaked just 37 goals along with Barrow and Solihull.


The following chart plots how the two teams compare for league position, form, attack and defence.


Very much like those FIFA game ratings the wider the web the higher the ranking.

How the two teams compare for the season so far (National League):

On current form and with home advantage Barrow should be firm favourites, however Notts' defensive record is second to none and they are currently experiencing decent form on the road.


Notts continue to be at their most vulnerable in both the first 15 and last 15 mins of a game and at their most potent in the first 15 mins of the second half. It looks like Barrow like to come out of the traps fast scoring most and conceding fewer of their goals in the early stages of a game which Notts fell victim to in the first encounter at Meadow Lane with two of the three Barrow goals coming in the first 13 minutes.


If Notts' defence can hold firm during the first half then there is some evidence to suggest that Barrow might be there for the taking as the game progresses.


Goals scored and conceded per 15 min segment for both Notts and Barrow. Segments 31-45 mins and 76-90 mins include goals scored in added/injury time.


A win and 3 points for Notts could potentially see a jump in the table to 4th place subject to the outcome of the games featuring Boreham Wood and Yeovil. Fixtures are such that a defeat could see a drop to 11th place, however this would mean only 4 points would separate the teams in 3rd to 11th place.


The odds are stacked heavily in Barrow's favour, but Notts' can take some confidence from the fact they continue to compete at the top of the defence charts, there is an improvement in results on the road and with a couple more key players starting to return from injury will hopefully have a bit more strength on the bench.


Barrow are now just 5 points clear of Harrogate who will be hoping Notts do them a favour. There will now be considerable pressure on the Barrow players as they start looking over their shoulder and hopefully Notts can take advantage of this.


Bookies obviously have Barrow as favourites for the win where you can get odds of 5/6. Notts are roughly 7/2 for the away win and you can get around 5/2 for the draw (oddschecker.com).


Note:

Betting odds are only used as another means to assess current form and sporting industry expectations of possible result. Notts County Stats do not endorse any form of gambling or betting industry associated businesses.

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